Live Hard, Die Fast

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Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 12:52:03 GMT

Jeff Relf wrote:
> Hello Diogenes , You wrote ,
> " My Grandkids might see Linux on the desktop , but not me "

Why? Is he planning an assisted suicide on Dec 31st?

>
> Well , Let's see ,
> For as long as desktops have been popular ,
> say 10 years , Microsoft has dominated it .

Like a 73 year old constipated man on a toilet, who refuses to get
off...yes, I'd say so.

>
> So I wouldn't expect that to change
> for at least another 10 more years .

You're off by a factor of 0.10

>
> IBM is a good analogy ,
> although they have moved on to other markets ,
> they're still going strong .

IBM is a bank. They make most of their money from investments and
financing and real estate. Next after that is 'consulting' and
services. Software, hardware and the rest run a distant third.

What IBM the bank is doing is making a shrewd, sound, investment in
Linux -- putting down a mere $20M here and there and probably getting
back $20B in the long run.

>
> I don't see why Microsoft should be any different .
>
> The next Microsoft / IBM will probably be
> a cell phone company .

Possibly. But like biotech, the cell phone companies are already big
players. I can see their revenue go up with more java services, but no
startups benefiting.

> And if you knew which one ... You'd become really rich .
> But if you guessed wrong ... You'd lose everything .
> Hmm ... IBM's stupidity created MS ,

In the same way that you created your two kids, but was not able to
support them.

> maybe MS' stupidity will create the next big winner .
>
> I know I'd like to have a cell phone with a good selection
> of NNTP clients to chose from .

Hah -- the Basic Monthly plan would consume 80 of your annual income.

> I'd also like to have decent head gear to go with it :
> like a radio , a head-mounted display
> and big-ass headphones ... Maybe some day .

• Previous message: J.O. Aho: "Re: chmod won't work unless I'm the owner, or root"
• In reply to: Jeff Relf: ". The next big winner ."
• Next in thread: Jeff Relf: ". Dominating the market ."
• Reply: Jeff Relf: ". Dominating the market ."
• Reply: res18u0x: "Re: Live Hard, Die Fast"
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